IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2024 Predictions

IDC FutureScape Figure

• Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2024 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

• Summary of External Drivers

• Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

• Prediction 1: By 2028, GenAI-Based Tools Will Be Capable of Writing 80% of Software Tests, Decreasing the Need for Manual Testing and Resulting in Improvements to Test Coverage, Software Usability, and Code Quality

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 2: GenAI Will Reinvent Refactoring of Legacy Apps, with Enterprises Utilizing GenAI Tools and Cloud Service Provider Platforms to Initiate and Execute 75% of Code Conversion and Development Tasks by 2027

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 3: By 2026, 40% of Net-New Applications Will Be Intelligent Apps, Where Developers Incorporate AI to Enhance Existing Experiences and Form New Use Cases

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 4: By 2026, 30% of Organizations Will Use Server-Side Wasm Within Their Application Delivery Chain, Achieving Key Improvements in Code Reusability, Security, and Time to Market

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 5: By 2026, the Maturation of GenAI Technologies Will Catalyze Accelerated Growth of the World's Developer Population and Cause the World's Developer Population to Grow 1.5x Faster

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 6: By 2025, 60% of DevOps Teams Will Use DevSecOps Tools Leveraging AI to Identify Security Challenges in Applications and Supply Chains

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 7: By 2028, Natural Language Will Become the Most Widely Used Programming Language, with Developers Using It to Create 55% of Net-New Applications

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 8: By 2027, 70% of Enterprises Will Adopt a Composable, Internal-Facing App Platform Empowering Developers to Source and Personalize Discovery of Development-Related Products, Services, and Infrastructure

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 9: By 2027, 60% of Enterprise Developers Will Use GPUs and Other Specialty Processors to Enhance Development for Machine Learning, AI, Video Editing, 3D Modeling, Simulations, and Digital Twins

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 10: By 2025, 70% of Enterprises Will Use Integrated Value Stream Management Metrics Within Development and Deployment Tools to Map Efforts to Business Outcomes and Drive Increased Delivery Coordination

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

• AI Everywhere — Generative AI Takes the Spotlight

• The Drive to Automate — Maximizing Efficiency and New Opportunities

• Cybersecurity and Risk — Building Resilience Against Multiplying Threats

• The Digital Business Imperative — Competitiveness and Outcomes

• Everything as a Service Intensifies — Transforming Models to Drive Change

• Dynamic Work and Skills Requirements — New Work Mode Era

• Operationalization of ESG — Measuring and Implementing Sustainability

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• Related Research