IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Future of Trust 2024 Predictions

IDC FutureScape Figure

• Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Future of Trust 2024 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

• Summary of External Drivers

• Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

• Prediction 1: By 2024, 35% of G2000 Will Deploy GenAI on First-Party Data in Their SOCs for Detection and Response to Uplevel Analysts While Addressing Hallucinations, Bias, Privacy, and Reinforced Learning Concerns

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 2: Emergent and Illusive GenAI-Based Pretexting Will Drive 45% of Midsize and Large Organizations to Adopt Identity Detection and Response Solutions by 2026

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 3: By 2026, States Representing 20% of the U.S. Population Will Introduce Laws to Curtail and Manage the Use of Deepfake Technologies Such as AI-Generated Video, Voice, and Images That Use a Person’s Likeness

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 4: By 2026, 30% of Organizations Will Utilize AI to Enhance Data Privacy Through Use of Data Anonymization, Encryption, Anomaly Detection, and Privacy-Preserving ML Techniques Like Differential Privacy

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 5: By the End of 2024, 80% of Large Organizations Will Have Extended Their DLP Deployments to GenAI Environments to Prevent Privacy Violations and Data Breaches

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 6: By 2024, 50% of G2000 Organizations Will Need to Demonstrate Compliant Digital Sovereignty Practices Aligned with Local Legislation on Data Processing, Storage, Classification, and Management

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 7: By 2026, 40% of Organizations Will Utilize AI-Enabled Risk and Compliance Solutions to Continuously Monitor Data in Real Time to Predict Noncompliance Internally or from Third-Party Associations

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 8: By 2027, 50% of Organizations Will Use Quantification Models to Attach a Dollar Figure to Cyber-Risks and Seek Vendors with Incident Response Data to Calculate Probability and Dollar Amounts

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 9: By 2026, 20% of Organizations Will Use a Proactive Cybersecurity Platform That Aggregates Risk Exposures to Score and Prioritize Cybersecurity Risk in Totality Instead of One Tool at a Time

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 10: By 2025, 75% G2000 Companies Will Have Implemented Review Boards for Management Oversight of Ethical and Responsible AI Use

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

• AI Everywhere — Generative AI Takes the Spotlight

• The Drive to Automate — Maximizing Efficiency and New Opportunities

• Geopolitical Turbulence — Sovereignty Under Emerging Fragmentation

• Cybersecurity and Risk — Building Resilience Against Multiplying Threats

• Shifting Tech Regulatory Landscape — Navigating Risk and Opportunity

• Operationalization of ESG — Measuring and Implementing Sustainability

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• Related Research