IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Government 2024 Predictions

IDC FutureScape Figure

• Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Government 2024 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

• Summary of External Drivers

• Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

• Prediction 1: To Ensure National Intelligence Superiority, 65% of Governments Will Address Strategic Weaknesses and Deploy Digital Sovereignty to Defend National Assets/Critical Infrastructure by 2028

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 2: By 2028, 40% of National Governments Will Increase Data Sharing Investments by 50%, Realizing the Value of Digital Trade Agreements That Impact National Economies/Operational Effectiveness

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 3: By 2027, 66% of National Governments Will Mandate Deployment of Software Tools That Monitor and Measure Energy Utilization in Government Facilities to Reduce Energy Costs and Improve Sustainability

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 4: By 2026, Governments Will Grow Spend on Data Sharing, AI, IoT, and Compute Power by 15% to Scale Global Collaboration to Mitigate the Impact of Extreme Weather Events Caused by Climate Change

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 5: By 2028, Taking Cue from EU's AI Policy, 60% of Worldwide National Governments Will Adopt a Risk Management Approach in Framing Their AI and GenAI Policies

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 6: By 2027, 50% of National Governments Will Extend GenAI from Task Automation to Decision Support Use Cases, Improving Citizen Service Responsiveness by 10% and Civil Servant Productivity by 15%

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 7: By 2027, 95% of Nations Will Have Experienced Major Cyberattacks Caused by Threat Actors Using GenAI, But Only 30% Will Be Resilient Enough to Prevent Significant Disruptions and Breaches

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 8: By 2026, 60% of National Governments Will Focus on Upskilling and Reskilling Civil Servants to Improve Their Work Experience and Citizen Services

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 9: By 2026, 60% of Governments Will Close Digital Gaps by Automating and Connecting Data, Processes, and Employees and Deploy AI-Enabled Platforms for Intelligent Operations End to End

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 10: By 2025, Traffic Management Incidents in Space Will Cause National Governments to Increase Technology Spending by 20% to Deliver a Collaborative Governance Model Facilitating the Space Economy

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

• AI Everywhere — Generative AI Takes the Spotlight

• The Drive to Automate — Maximizing Efficiency and New Opportunities

• Global Supply Chain Resiliency — Push for Diversification

• Cybersecurity and Risk — Building Resilience Against Multiplying Threats

• The Digital Business Imperative — Competitiveness and Outcomes

• Shifting Tech Regulatory Landscape — Navigating Risk and Opportunity

• Operationalization of ESG — Measuring and Implementing Sustainability

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