IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Government 2023 Predictions

IDC FutureScape Figure

• Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide National Government 2023 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

• Summary of External Drivers

• Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

• Prediction 1: Due to Recent Economic and Geopolitical Events, by 2024, 45% of National Governments Will Consider Digital Sovereignty Critical to Protect Key National Infrastructures for Nation Survivability

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 2: By 2023, 65% of National Governments Will Require Compliance, with Cybersecurity Mandates Strengthening Security Requirements, Addressing Supply Chains, Streamlining Reporting, and Enforcing Sanctions

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 3: Led by the United States, by 2025, 40% of National Governments Will Adopt Immersive Learning Technology in Critical Sectors to Accelerate Education, Hone Skills, and Engage and Retain Employees

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 4: By 2024, 30% of National Governments Will Make Digital Service More Inclusive, and 20% Will Invest in Inclusivity Through Digital Services

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 5: 35% of National Governments Will, by 2027, Create Next-Generation Warfare Divisions to Creatively Leverage Innovation Accelerators and Crowdsourced Intelligence in Geopolitical Conflict

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 6: By 2026, National Governments and International Institutions Will Double Their HumTech Investments to Assist People Displaced Because of Conflict, Disasters, Famine, and Climate Change

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 7: By 2024, 25% of National Governments Will Focus on Compliance Frameworks and AI-Driven Content Moderation to Mitigate Rampant, Disruptive Misinformation and Address the Loss of Consensus Reality

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 8: By 2025, 60% of National Governments Will Deploy Cloud Billing and Reporting Tools for Financial Accountability of the Variable Spend of Multiple Clouds

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 9: By 2026, 45% of Nations Will Negotiate Digital Trade Agreements with Like-Minded Partners to Guarantee Movement of Selected Data Across International Borders

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Guidance

• Prediction 10: By 2024, 20% of G20 Countries Will Mandate Government Executives to Justify IT Investments and Select IT Suppliers Based on ESG Value Metrics

• Associated Drivers

• IT Impact

• Business Impact

• Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

External Drivers: Detail

• Storms of Disruption — Accelerating, Interconnected Uncertainty

• Geopolitical Reality — Sovereignty in the Digital World

• Cybersecurity and Risk — Scaling and Evolving Threat Environment

• Meaningful Intelligence — Differentiated Decision Power

• Embracing the Metaverse — New Levels of Immersion

• Mainstream ESG — Sustainability Is Measured and Mandatory

• Digital Business — Stepping Stone to the Future Enterprise

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