target audience: TECH SUPPLIER Publication date: Apr 2023 - Document type: Market Forecast - Doc Document number: # US50568323
Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Forecast, 2023–2027
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Abstract
This IDC study presents an update to Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Forecast Update, 2022–2026 (IDC #US49915822, December 2022). It integrates IDC's current IT hardware and consumer electronics products forecasts through 2027 as well as updated HDD and SSD technology transition assumptions. This forecast also reflects the updated HDD and SSD attach rate assumptions in systems, particularly where the mass storage device is fungible in the system or device.
Underpinning this forecast for the worldwide HDD market are IDC's assumptions regarding HDD technology transitions that will affect the pace of HDD areal density growth (see Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Component Forecast, 2022–2026, IDC #US49296622, July 2022), HDD product transitions, and HDD price-per-gigabyte declines for each HDD product segment.
"Safety stock inventory accumulations during COVID-19 are still negatively impacting near-term HDD demand into 1H23 while, at the same time, the macroeconomy feels the impacts of inflation and interest rate hikes," according to Ed Burns, research director, Hard Disk Drive and Storage Technologies. "As 2022 experienced a decline in enterprise HDD petabyte shipments, 2023 is setting up to be another challenging period with relatively low year-over-year growth. However, critical demand drivers remain in place to support above-trend growth for enterprise and video surveillance HDDs in 2024."